Ioannis Ntzoufras

Publications Page

Books

1. Ntzoufras, I. (2009). Bayesian Modeling Using WinBUGS. Wiley Series in Computational Statistics, Hoboken, USA.

 Refereed Publications in Journals

    Statistics

1. Fouskakis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (2012). Computation for Intrinsic Variable Selection in Normal Regression Models via Expected-Posterior Prior Statistics and Computing, forthcoming..
2. Lykou, A. and Ntzoufras, I (2012). On Bayesian Lasso Variable Selection and the Specification of the Shrinkage Parameter. Statistics and Computing, forthcoming. .
3. Dellaportas P., Forster J.J. and Ntzoufras I. (2011). Joint Specification of Model Space and Parameter Space Prior Distributions Statistical Science, forthcoming.
4. Lykou, A. and Ntzoufras, I (2011). WinBUGS: A Tutorial, WIREs Computational Statistic (invited). 3, 385–396.
5. Iliopoulos, G., Kateri, M. and Ntzoufras, I. (2009). Bayesian Model Comparison for the Order Restricted RC Association Model  Psychometrika, 74, 561–587.
6. Fouskakis, D., Ntzoufras, I. and Draper, D. (2009). Population-Based Reversible Jump MCMC for Bayesian Variable Selection and Evaluation Under Cost-Limit Restrictions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society C (Applied Statistics), 58,  383-403.
7. Fouskakis, D., Ntzoufras, I. and Draper, D. (2009). Bayesian variable selection using a cost-penalised approach, with application to cost-effective measurement of quality of health care. Annals of Applied Statistics, 3, 663-690.
8. Eleftheraki, A.G., Kateri, M. and Ntzoufras, I. (2009). Bayesian Analysis of Two Dependent 2x2 Contingency Tables. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 53, 2724-2732.
9. Iliopoulos G. , Kateri M. and Ntzoufras I. (2007). Bayesian Estimation of Unrestricted and Order-Restricted Association Models for a Two-Way Contingency Table. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 51, 4643-4655.
10. Karlis D. and Ntzoufras I. (2006). Bayesian analysis of the differences of  count data. Statistics in Medicine 25, 1885-1905.
11. Iliopoulos G., Karlis D.  and Ntzoufras I. (2005) Bayesian estimation in Kibble's bivariate gamma distribution. Canadian Journal of Statistics, 33,  571-589 .
12. Karlis D. and Ntzoufras I. (2005). Bivariate Poisson and Diagonal Inflated Bivariate Poisson Regression Models in R. Journal of Statistical Software, Volume 10, Issue 10. [Download paper].
13. Kateri M., Nicolaou A. and Ntzoufras I. (2005). Bayesian Inference for the RC(m) Association Model. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 14, 116-138.
14. Karlis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (2003), Analysis of Sports Data Using Bivariate Poisson Models,  Journal of the Royal Statistical Association, D [Statistician], 52, 381-393. [Download paper via Jstor  web-site].
15. Ntzoufras, I., Dellaportas, P. and Forster, J.J. (2003). Bayesian Variable and Link Determination for Generalised Linear Models. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 111, 165-180. [Download paper via science direct].
16. Ntzoufras, I. (2002). Gibbs Variable Selection Using BUGS. Journal of Statistical Software, Volume 7, Issue 7. [Download paper]  [Download associated Bugs files here]
17. Dellaportas, P., Forster, J.J. and Ntzoufras, I. (2002). On Bayesian Model and Variable Selection Using MCMC. Statistics and Computing, 12, 27-36.[Download paper via Kluwer On line] 
18. Ntzoufras, I., Forster, J.J. and Dellaportas, P. (2000). Stochastic Search Variable Selection for Log-linear Models. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 68, 23-38.

    Sports (Modeling and Competitive Balance Indices)

1. Manasis, V., Avgerinou, V., Ntzoufras, I. and Reade, J. (2012). Quantification of competitive balance in European football; Development of specially designed indices.IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, forthcoming.
2. Manasis, V., Avgerinou, V., Ntzoufras, I. and Reade, J.J., (2011). Measurement of competitive balance in professional team sports using the Normalized Concentration Ratio. Economics Bulletin, 31, 2529–2540.
3. Karlis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (2011). Robust fitting of football prediction models.  IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 22, 171-182.
4. Karlis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (2009). Bayesian modelling of football outcomes (using the Skellam's distribution), IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 20, 133-146.
5. Karlis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (2003), Analysis of Sports Data Using Bivariate Poisson Models,  Journal of the Royal Statistical Association, D [Statistician], 52, 381-393. [Download paper via Jstor  web-site].
6. Karlis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (2000). On modelling Soccer Data., Student, 3, 229-244.   

    Statistical Methods in Actuarial Science

1. Katsis A. and Ntzoufras I. (2005). Bayesian Hypothesis Testing for the Distribution of Insurance Claim Counts Using the Gibbs Sampler. Journal of Computational Methods in Science and Engineering, 5, 201-214.
2. Ntzoufras, I. , Katsis, A. and Karlis, D. (2005), Bayesian Assessment of the Distribution of Insurance Claim Counts Using Reversible Jump MCMC. North American Actuarial Journal, 9, 90-108.
3. Ntzoufras, I. and Dellaportas, P. (2002). Bayesian Modelling of Outstanding Liabilities Incorporating Claim Count Uncertainty (with discussion).  North American Actuarial Journal, 6, 113-128. [Download paper and the correct Table 3]. 

                                  Psychiatric Research

1. Vitoratou S., Ntzoufras I., Smyrnis N. and Stefanis N.C. (2009). Factorial composition of the Aggression Questionnaire: a multi sample study in Greek adults. Psychiatry Research, 168(1), 32-39.
2. Stefanis N.C., Vitoratou S., Smyrnis N., Constantinidis T., Evdokimidis I., Hatzimanolis I., Ntzoufras I. and Stefanis C. (2006). Mixed handedness is associated with the Disorganization dimension of schizotypy in a young male population. Schizophrenia research, 87, 289-296.
3. Stefanis, N.C. , Vitoratou, S., Ntzoufras, I., Smyrnis, N., Evdokimidis, I., Stefanis, C.N. (2006). Psychometric properties of the Greek version of the Schizotypal Personality Questionnaire (SPQ) in young male obligatory conscripts: A two years test–retest study. Personality and Individual Differences,  41, 1275–1286.
4. Stefanis, N.C., Smyrnis N., Avramopoulos, D., Evdokimidis, D., Ntzoufras, I., and Stefanis C.N. (2004). Factorial Composition of Self Rated Schizotypal Traits Amongst Young Males Undergoing Military Training: The ASPIS. Shizophrenia Bulletin, 30, 335-350.

                                  Other Research/Publications

1. Tarantola C., Vicard P. and Ntzoufras I. (2012). Monitoring and Improving Greek Banking Services Using Bayesian Networks: an Analysis of Mystery Shopping Data. Expert Systems with Applications, 39, 10103–10111.
2. Tseloni, A., Ntzoufras, I., Nicolaou, A. and Pease, K. (2010). Concentration of personal and household crimes in England and Wales.European Journal of Applied Mathematics, 21, 325–348.

 

Refereed Publications in Books/Volume

1. Manasis, V., Avgerinou, V. and Ntzoufras, I. (2010). A New Approach for the Measurement of Seasonal Competitive Balance. In European sports models - similarities and differences in international comparative perspective, Emrich E., Pierdzioch C., Büch P.-M. (eds.) in collaboration with Bischoff F., Series of Sports Economics, Volume 13, Hofmann-Verlag GmbH & Co, Germany.
2. Ntzoufras, I. (2010). Bayesian Analysis of the Normal Regression Model. In Rethinking Risk Measurement and Reporting: Uncertainty, Bayesian Analysis and Expert Judgement  (K. Böcker, ed.). Risk Books ISBN-10: 1-906348-40-5, ISBN-13:  978-1-906348-40-3, pp. 69-106.
3. Dellaportas, P., Forster, J.J. and Ntzoufras, I. (2000). Bayesian Variable Selection Using the Gibbs Sampler. Generalized Linear Models: A Bayesian Perspective  (D. K. Dey, S. Ghosh, and  B. Mallick, eds.).  New York: Marcel Dekker, 271 – 286. [Download associated Bugs files here].
4. Ntzoufras, I. (1999). Discussion on `Bayesian Model Averaging and Model Search Strategies', Bayesian Statistics 6, (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and  A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 178-179.

Publications in Conference Proceedings

1. Ntzoufras, I. and Katsis, A. (2004).  Bayesian Comparison of Discrete Distributions Using MCMC. Proceedings of the Greek Statistical Institute, 17, 543-550.
2. Ntzoufras, I., Katsis, A. and Karlis, D. (2003). A Bayesian Statistical Modelling Approach for the Distribution of Insurance Claim Counts. Proceedings of the International Conference of Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering, 2003, 470 - 473.
3. Ntzoufras, I. and Karlis, D. (2003).  Bayesian Tests for Poisson Difference Data. Proceedings of the Greek Statistical Institute, 16.
4. Karlis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (2003).  Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Analysis of Soccer Data Using Bivariate Poisson Regression Models. Proceedings of the Greek Statistical Institute, 16.
5. Ntzoufras, I., Dellaportas, I. and Forster, J.J. (2003).  On Prior Distributions for Bayesian Model Selection. Proceedings of the Greek Statistical Institute, 15, vol.B, 760-767.
6. Kateri, M., Nicolaou, A. and Ntzoufras, I. (2003).  Evaluation of the fit of the RC(M) Association Model: A Bayesian Perspective.  Proceedings of the Greek Statistical Institute, 15, vol.B, 723-730 .
7. Ntzoufras, I. (2002).  Bayesian Model and Variable Selection Using MCMC: Applications  in Medicine. Proceedings of the Greek Statistical Institute, 14, 631-638.
8. Ntzoufras, I. and Dellaportas, P. (2002).  Bayesian Modelling for the Prediction of Outstanding Automobile Claim Counts.  Proceedings of the Greek Statistical Institute, 14,  639-646.
9. Ntzoufras, I., Dellaportas, P. and Forster, J.J. (1999). Specification and Interpretation of Prior Distributions for Variable Selection in Linear Models. Proceedings of the Fourth Hellenic-European Conference on Computer Mathematics and its Applications (E.A.Lipitakis, eds.), Athens: LEA , 451-458.
10. Karlis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (1999). Statistical Modelling for Soccer Games: The Greek League. Proceedings of the Fourth Hellenic-European Conference on Computer Mathematics and its Applications (E.A.Lipitakis, eds.), Athens: LEA, 541-548.
11. Ntzoufras, I., Dellaportas, P. and Forster, J.J. (1996). A Comparison of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Log-Linear Model Selection. Proceedings of the Third Hellenic-European Conference on Mathematics and Informatics, (E.A.Lipitakis, eds.), Athens: LEA, 506-514.

 

Phd Thesis

•  Ntzoufras, I., (1999) `Aspects of Bayesian Model and Variable Selection Using MCMC',  Dep. of Statistics, Athens University of Economics and Business. Download zipped ps or unzipped ps or unzipped pdf .

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Last revised: 15-11-2001